Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.035623 0.041784 0.048167 0.055234 0.062806 0.070641 0.079330
2025-12-14 0.027291 0.036211 0.045990 0.057336 0.069985 0.083522 0.098981
2025-12-21 0.021200 0.031614 0.043626 0.058106 0.074750 0.092998 0.114261
2025-12-28 0.018793 0.030683 0.044925 0.062553 0.083223 0.106233 0.133374
2026-01-04 0.014144 0.026231 0.041457 0.060938 0.084332 0.110835 0.142525
2026-01-11 0.011576 0.024043 0.040432 0.061956 0.088270 0.118463 0.154916
2026-01-18 0.009252 0.021802 0.039061 0.062321 0.091247 0.124832 0.165739
2026-01-25 0.007373 0.019882 0.037889 0.062757 0.094168 0.131022 0.176258
2026-02-01 0.005640 0.017852 0.036349 0.062557 0.096180 0.136039 0.185327
2026-02-08 0.003618 0.014803 0.033056 0.059824 0.094865 0.136943 0.189456
2026-02-15 0.002460 0.012994 0.031371 0.059087 0.095941 0.140632 0.196785
2026-02-22 0.001802 0.012019 0.030849 0.059862 0.098888 0.146547 0.206719
2026-03-01 0.001284 0.011232 0.030650 0.061197 0.102737 0.153800 0.218557
2026-03-08 0.000975 0.010884 0.031146 0.063526 0.107916 0.162741 0.232494
2026-03-15 0.000585 0.009996 0.030636 0.064359 0.111103 0.169208 0.243454
2026-03-22 0.000590 0.010614 0.032767 0.069048 0.119392 0.182015 0.262068
2026-03-29 0.000183 0.008909 0.030609 0.067348 0.119145 0.184163 0.267776
2026-04-05 0.000063 0.008291 0.030352 0.068421 0.122564 0.190863 0.278979
2026-04-12 0.000003 0.007503 0.029675 0.068805 0.125021 0.196333 0.288668
2026-04-19 NaN 0.006802 0.029080 0.069264 0.127547 0.201866 0.298417
2026-04-26 NaN 0.005970 0.028094 0.069053 0.129115 0.206157 0.306622
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004536 0.025517 0.066174 0.126901 0.205554 0.308749
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003770 0.024300 0.065398 0.127553 0.208577 0.315309